The Study of Regional Economic Effect by Construction of 119 Integrated Information System through RAS Method -In the Case Gyangsngnamdo-

Ryu, Tae-Chang; Kim, Yeong

Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation 2007;7(4):41-50.
Published online October 31, 2007.

RAS Method을 통해 본 119소방종합정보시스템 구축 사업의 지역 경제 파급효과 분석에 관한 연구 -경상남도를 중심으로-

류태창, 김영

The Study of Regional Economic Effect by Construction of 119 Integrated Information System through RAS Method -In the Case Gyangsngnamdo-

Tae-Chang Ryu, Yeong Kim

Abstract

This study aims to examine the ripple effect of the `119 Integrated Information System` for city disaster management on the local economy. The study was conducted in the area of Gyeongnam province, and the study method is the interdependence analysis based on the Input Coefficient drawn from Input-Output Tables in which Intermediary Transaction Tables drawn through RAS was taken advantage of to grasp the correlation among industries and regions in terms of the local economy, and the ripple effect of the changes of political exogenous variables on the local economy was divided to such elements as production, added value, and employment so as to attempt empirical analysis on the local economy system. To estimate the ripple effect on the local economy, three different amounts of the expected input were applied to the study respectively and the results are as follows: Some $28.7{sim}42.4$ billion won for the production induction effect, some $7.5{sim}11.4$ billion won for the added-value induction effect, some $103{sim}157$ job openings for the employment induction effect, and some $3.8{sim}5.7$ billion won for the income induction effect are expected to take place as the ripple effect on the local economy.

Key Words: 119 Integrated Information System; Regional Economic effect; Regional Input-output Analysis; RAS Method; Urban Disaster

요지

본 연구에서는 도시 재난 관리를 위한 소방종합정보시스템(119 Integrated Information System) 구축에 따른 지역 경제적 파급효과에 관하여 연구하였다. 연구대상 지역으로는 경상남도를 대상으로 하였다. 연구방법은 산업연관표(Input-Output Tables)로부터 산출되는 투입계수를 기초로 한 산업간 상호의존관계분석으로 RAS방식을 통해 도출된 중간거래표를 이용 지역경제 산업간, 지역간의 연관관계를 파악 정책적인 외생변수의 변화에 따른 지역경제 파급효과를 생산, 부가가치, 고용 등으로 구분하여 지역경제 구조에 대한 실증적 분석을 시도하였다. 예상 투입액을 3가지로 구분하여 도출한 결과 생산유발효과에서는 약 287억원${sim}$424억원, 부가가치유발효과에서는 약 75억원${sim}$114억원, 고용유발효과에서는 약 103명${sim}$157명, 소득유발효과에서는 38억원${sim}$57억원의 지역경제 파급효과가 발생할 것으로 예측되었다.

핵심용어: 소방종합정보시스템; 지역경제효과; 지역투입산출분석; 양비례조정법; 도시재난